International Journal of Cyber Diplomacy / 2020, Volume 1



Poliheuristic Foreign Policy Analysis under Uncertainty of Gilpinean Hegemony an Neoliberal Hobbesian Anarchy of Cyberpolitics

Horațiu MOGA

horatiu.moga@gmail.com


Abstract:

The research aims to present a variant of the interaction between states that has the international hegemonic characteristics of the Gilpinean type as well as the characteristics of the anarcho-cybernetic interaction with Hobbesian and neoliberal features. The purpose of this article is to present through the concept of uncertainty the way in which the foreign policy decision maker can make a decision that can be favored or suppressed by the cyber anarchy that characterizes the Internet through the interactions between state or non-state actors. This cyber anarchy is considered one of the Hobbesian and neoliberal type to be consistent with the classical theory of international relations. This online political environment characterized by a Hobbesian and neoliberal cyber anarchy we will call cyberpolitics and we will try through four levels of analysis, four levels of uncertainty and three paradigms of international relations (the hegemonic war - the Hobbesian anarchy of neoliberal-the paradigm of poliheuristic foreign policy) to propose a way of analyzing the behavior of the state subject to cyber constraints or opportunities in foreign policy. The research will present the way of integrating the elements mentioned above in the foreign policy paradigm as a tool open to the analysis of predictive intelligence in the theory of international relations or cyber intelligence. The conclusions reached by the study are that the way of studying the hegemonic expansion of states that are subject to cyber-type constraints or opportunities can be extended to other areas of international relations.

Keywords:
Cyberpolitics, Cyber threat intelligence, Cyberwarfare, LAMP, Predictive intelligence

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CITE THIS PAPER AS:
Horațiu MOGA, "Poliheuristic Foreign Policy Analysis under Uncertainty of Gilpinean Hegemony an Neoliberal Hobbesian Anarchy of Cyberpolitics", International Journal of Cyber Diplomacy, ISSN 2668-8662, vol. 1, pp. None, 2020.